Recommended portfolio from DNB Carnegie
On this page you will find equity strategist Paul Harper's weekly top picks on the Oslo Stock Exchange.
WEEKLY PORTFOLIO: Equity strategist Paul Harper's portfolio of recommended shares from the Oslo Stock Exchange has outperformed the main index in 18 of the last 21 years. (Photo: NTB)
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This week's recommendations from DNB Carnegie are updated, with certain exceptions, on this page every Monday. If you have access to DNB's Equity Trading Service, you will receive the recommendations when logged in early Monday morning on our trading platform.
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Portfolio week 15
(07.04.26) We are keeping the portfolio unchanged
The portfolio was up 4.4 per cent from Monday morning last week to the same time this week. In the same period, OSEBX was up 4.1 per cent.
Shares out:
- None
Shares in:
- None
This week we have chosen to await developments and retain the shares we hold. Full commentary can be found below.
Recommended Portfolio Report Week 15 (PDF, Norwegian)Open the file in a new tab.
PLEASE NOTE: The recommendations are provided subject to certain reservations. Read the disclaimer below.
Shares in the Portfolio
Click on the ticker to view key information:
DOF Group (DOFG)
Mowi (MOWI)
SATS (SATS)
Sparebank1 SMN (MING)
Subsea 7 (SUBC)
Telenor (TEL)
YARA (YAR)
Year to date: So far in 2026 the portfolio is up 5.4 per cent, whilst OSEBX is up 22.8 per cent.
Harper's comment
(07.04.26) Our portfolio outperformed the index during Easter week, by just under 0.3 per cent.
So far in 2026 the portfolio is up 5.4 per cent, whilst OSEBX is up 22.8 per cent. This week we are leaving the selection of shares unchanged.
The week that was
Yara (+6.6 %), Subsea 7 (+5.3 %) and Mowi (+5 %) delivered the strongest rate of return to the portfolio last week. Telenor (+2.2 %), DOF Group (+2.5 %) and SATS (+4.4 %) provided the weakest contributions. Although we do not have any pure oil companies in the portfolio, we are exposed to the unrest in the Middle East through our positions in Yara, and indirectly through Subsea7 and DOF. The transport blockade through the Strait of Hormuz affects both fertiliser and energy prices, which impacts all three companies.
There is still much uncertainty surrounding the situation. The latest deadline Trump has given Iran to agree to his peace demands is Wednesday at 02:00. We believe the oil service companies will be able to benefit from a higher oil price level, and when both transport routes are disrupted and production capacity is destroyed as a result of the conflict, it increases the likelihood of sustained pressure on prices. The service shares also appear more attractively priced than the oil production companies, which are already highly valued.
This week
On Friday, inflation figures for Norway will be released. Market expectations are that the figures will show that inflation has risen since February, driven in part by higher petrol and flight prices. Our macroeconomists expect that inflation, which has remained high over a longer period, will lead to an interest rate increase from the Norwegian central bank, Norges Bank, in June.
In the US, the high energy prices have, on the other hand, led to an expectation that the Fed has finished lowering interest rates. On Wednesday, the minutes from the previous Fed meeting will be published. These may provide further insight into how concerned Fed members are about the inflationary effect of higher energy prices, and whether there is internal disagreement regarding the future interest rate path.
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*The average annual rate of return on Paul Harper's recommended portfolio since inception (2005–end of 2023) is 20.7%, whilst OSEBX delivered 10.7% on average annually over the same period. Over the past ten years (2013–2023), Harper's portfolio delivered 17.9% on average annually. The recommended portfolio outperformed the main index (OSEBX) in the following years: 2005–2007, 2009–2010, 2012–2021 and 2023–2024.
In our calculation of rate of return, we base the entry and exit prices on the opening prices on Monday morning. The portfolio is equally weighted and the weekly rate of return therefore reflects an overall average of the price development for all shares throughout the week. For companies on the OBX index, we use the average price up to 10:00 on Monday, whilst for other shares we use the average up to 12:00. The return for OSEBX is calculated from the price at 10:00 on Monday.
Investing in shares involves high risk.Future rate of return depends on market developments, the investor's skill, risk, as well as costs associated with purchase, maintenance and sale. The return may be negative.
Important information
The weekly recommendations are based on a report prepared by DNB Carnegie, a division of DNB Bank ASA. DNB Bank ASA is part of the DNB Group. This report is based on information obtained from public sources that DNB Carnegie believes to be reliable, but which DNB Carnegie has not independently verified. DNB Carnegie therefore provides no guarantees, representations or warranties as to the accuracy or completeness. This report does not contain, and does not attempt to contain, all material information about the companies named.
All opinions expressed here on this page reflect DNB Carnegie's assessment at the time the report was prepared. Recommendations may change without notice.